A two-sex model for the AIDS-epidemic. Application to the Cuban national program on HIV-AIDS

Héctor de Arazoza (1) , Rachid Lounès (2)

1 MATCOM - Matematica y Computacion
2 MAP5 - UMR 8145 - Mathématiques Appliquées Paris 5

A model for the AIDS program in Cuba is proposed, based on two classes of individuals, 'known seropositives to HIV' and 'known AIDS cases'. The equations for this situation are stated, and solutions for the expectation for the variables of the two clases are calculated. Using the data from the Cuban National Program on HIV-AIDS some of the not known coefficients are found. These coefficients can be used to estimate the size of the population of th 'unknown HIV seropositives

Domaines: Santé publique et épidémiologie; Systèmes dynamiques [math.DS]

Héctor de Arazoza, Rachid Lounès. A two-sex model for the AIDS-epidemic. Application to the Cuban national program on HIV-AIDS. Investigacion Operacionnal, 1996, 17 (3-4), pp.95-100. ⟨hal-00459577⟩