Modeling HIV Epidemic Under Contact Tracing-The Cuban Case

Hector de Arazoza; Rachid Lounes; Thu Hoang; Yannet Interian

Journal articles

Modeling HIV Epidemic Under Contact Tracing-The Cuban Case

Hector de Arazoza ^{1, 2, *} Rachid Lounes ^{3, 4} Thu Hoang ⁵ Yannet Interian ²

* Corresponding author

1 MATCOM - Matematica y Computacion

2 Facultad de Matematica y Computacion

3 MAP5 - Mathématiques Appliquées à Paris 5

4 UPD5 Mathématiques Informatique - Université Paris Descartes - UFR de Mathématiques et Informatique

5 MAP5 - UMR 8145 - Mathématiques Appliquées Paris 5

Abstract : A nonlinear model is developed for an epidemic with contact tracing, and its dynamic is studied. A linear version of the model is presented in both deterministic and stochastic versions. We present the data for the cuban HIV/AIDS epidemic and fit the linear model to the data, we obtain estimates for the size of the Cuban HIV epidernic.

Keywords : contact tracing HIV/AIDS epidemic birth and death process pidemic control deterministic path birth and death process.

Document type :

Journal articles

Domain :

Statistics [stat] / Applications [stat.AP]

Life Sciences [q-bio] / Santé publique et épidémiologie

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https://hal-univ-paris.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00263924
Contributor : Rachid Lounes Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Thursday, March 13, 2008 - 3:12:20 PM
Last modification on : Thursday, October 1, 2020 - 9:46:45 AM

Modeling HIV Epidemic Under Contact Tracing-The Cuban Case

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